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Search Publications by: Douglas Thomas (Fed)

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Displaying 1 - 25 of 76

Annual Report on the U.S. Manufacturing Economy: 2025

February 20, 2026
Author(s)
Douglas Thomas
This report provides a statistical review of the U.S. manufacturing industry. There are three aspects of U.S. manufacturing that are considered: (1) how the U.S. industry compares to other countries, (2) the trends in the domestic industry, and (3) the

Causal Machine Learning: An Empirical Approach to Supply Chain Management

January 9, 2026
Author(s)
Alfredo Roa-Henriquez, Juan Fung, Ruhaimatu Abudu, Jennifer Helgeson, Douglas Thomas
Over the past two decades, artificial intelligence (AI) has revolutionized industries, with machine learning (ML) at its core. While ML has enhanced supply chain management (SCM) in efficiency and resilience, it often relies on correlations, risking

Supply Chain Disruption and Agent-Based Modeling : A Literature Review and Model

September 25, 2025
Author(s)
Douglas Thomas, Jennifer Helgeson, Ireland Crowther
This report provides a literature review of supply chain disruption and agent-based models. It also develops an agent-based model to examine emergent phenomena in supply chain disruption. This model will eventually be used to 1) examine how supply chain

China's Manufacturing Innovation Centers: A Benchmarking Report for the Manufacturing USA Network

May 5, 2025
Author(s)
Michael Molnar, Kelley Rogers, Frank Gayle, Susan Ipri-Brown, Mai Tran, Joseph Long, Clifton Ray, Albert Shih, Douglas Thomas
This review of China's Manufacturing Innovation Centers (MICs) describes the status of the country's flagship manufacturing innovation program. At least 33 MICs have been established to date, suggesting that China is within reach of its goal of 40 MICs by

Economics of Digital Twins: Costs, Benefits, and Economic Decision Making

October 30, 2024
Author(s)
Douglas Thomas
This report examines the economics of digital twins in the manufacturing industry, including the costs, benefits, and economic decision to invest in the adoption of a digital twin. It characterizes the costs and benefits along with the circumstances under

The U.S. Plastics Recycling Economy: Current State, Challenges, and Opportunities

October 30, 2024
Author(s)
Douglas Thomas, Joshua D. Kneifel, David Butry
This report builds upon NIST AMS 100-48 (Thomas 2022), which examined the economics of increased circularity in the economy, focusing on the processes, forces, and decision making that result in an unsustainable economy. This report further discusses the

Annual Report on the U.S. Manufacturing Economy: 2024

October 25, 2024
Author(s)
Douglas Thomas
This report provides a statistical review of the U.S. manufacturing industry. There are three aspects of U.S. manufacturing that are considered: (1) how the U.S. industry compares to other countries, (2) the trends in the domestic industry, and (3) the

A Guide to the Smart Investment Tools

October 10, 2024
Author(s)
Douglas Thomas, Joshua D. Kneifel, Purav Parekh
This report serves as a guide to the Smart Investment Tool and Smart Investment Tool Express (SITExpress). These tools aid a user in conducting an investment analysis with a focus on those in the manufacturing industry; however, the methods can be used for

Annual Report on the U.S. Manufacturing Economy: 2023

November 2, 2023
Author(s)
Douglas Thomas
This report provides a statistical review of the U.S. manufacturing industry. There are three aspects of U.S. manufacturing that are considered: (1) how the U.S. industry compares to other countries, (2) the trends in the domestic industry, and (3) the

Annual Report on U.S. Manufacturing Industry Statistics: 2022

October 20, 2022
Author(s)
Douglas Thomas
This report provides a statistical review of the U.S. manufacturing industry. There are three aspects of U.S. manufacturing that are considered: (1) how the U.S. industry compares to other countries, (2) the trends in the domestic industry, and (3) the

Measuring downstream supply chain losses due to power disturbances

September 16, 2022
Author(s)
Douglas Thomas, Juan Fung
Power outages in the U.S. affect many firms' economic activity and are likely to result in downstream supply chain disruptions. This paper examines the impact of power disturbances in the supply chain for four industries: manufacturing, durable goods

Procedural Guide for System-Level Impact Evaluation of Industrial Artificial Intelligence-Driven Technologies: Application to Risk-Based Investment Analysis for Condition Monitoring Systems in Manufacturing

December 16, 2021
Author(s)
Michael Sharp, Mehdi Dadfarnia, Timothy A. Sprock, Douglas Thomas
Industrial artificial intelligence (IAI) and other analysis tools with obfuscated internal processes are growing in capability and ubiquity within industrial settings. Decision-makers share their concern regarding the objective evaluation of such tools and

Annual Report on U.S. Manufacturing Industry Statistics: 2021

October 29, 2021
Author(s)
Douglas Thomas
This report provides a statistical review of the U.S. manufacturing industry. There are three aspects of U.S. manufacturing that are considered: (1) how the U.S. industry compares to other countries, (2) the trends in the domestic industry, and (3) the

Guide for Environmentally Sustainable Investment Analysis Based on ASTM E3200

March 15, 2021
Author(s)
Douglas Thomas, Anand M. Kandaswamy, David Butry
This guide presents techniques for evaluating manufacturing investments from the perspective of environmentally sustainable manufacturing by pairing economic methods of investment analysis with environmental aspect of manufacturing, including manufacturing

Measuring Manufacturings Significance in the USA

December 16, 2020
Author(s)
Katherine C. Morris, Douglas S. Thomas
Economic value added is a primary metric for measuring manufacturing activity; however, this metric and others exclude approximately half of the economic activity necessary for producing manufactured goods. With the recent disruption in the supply of goods

Annual Report on U.S. Manufacturing Industry Statistics: 2020

October 27, 2020
Author(s)
Douglas Thomas
This report provides a statistical review of the U.S. manufacturing industry. There are three aspects of U.S. manufacturing that are considered: (1) how the U.S. industry compares to other countries, (2) the trends in the domestic industry, and (3) the
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