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Quantifying Model Error



Kevin B. McGrattan, Blaza Toman


A methodology is proposed for reporting the results of fire model validation studies that consist mainly of comparisons of model predictions and experimental measurements. The difference between the two is a combination of model error and experimental uncertainty. Assuming that one can quantify the experimental uncertainty, the model error can be estimated using a relatively simple form of Bayesian analysis.
Journal of Fire Protection Engineering


fire modeling, validation


McGrattan, K. and Toman, B. (2011), Quantifying Model Error, Journal of Fire Protection Engineering, [online], (Accessed April 25, 2024)
Created February 11, 2011, Updated February 19, 2017