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A methodology is proposed for reporting the results of fire model validation studies that consist mainly of comparisons of model predictions and experimental measurements. The difference between the two is a combination of model error and experimental uncertainty. Assuming that one can quantify the experimental uncertainty, the model error can be estimated using a relatively simple form of Bayesian analysis.
McGrattan, K.
and Toman, B.
(2011),
Quantifying Model Error, Journal of Fire Protection Engineering, [online], https://tsapps.nist.gov/publication/get_pdf.cfm?pub_id=904174
(Accessed June 3, 2023)