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A Hurricane Damage Prediction Model for Residential Structures



A Cope, K Gurley, James J. Filliben, Emil Simiu, J P. Pinelli, C Subramanian, L. Zhang, S Hamid


The focus of this paper is the development of a probabilistic model for the prediction of structural damage due to hurricane winds in the state of Florida. This is a necessary component to a model currently under development to predict annualized insurable losses to residential structures due to hurricane winds. The estimation of building damage is accomplished through the development of damage matrices. The wind field and the structural system are decomposed into a set of discrete wind speed ranges and several basic damage states for a given structural calssification. The damage matrix expresses the various mutually exclusive combinations of damage states and their corresponding probability of occurrence conditioned upon a given wind speed range. The paper describes the conceptual framework for the proposed model, and illustrates its application for a specific building classification common in Florida.
Proceedings Title
Conference Dates
July 6-9, 2003
Conference Location
Conference Title
International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering


building technology, damage, hurricanes, losses, residential buildings, wind loads


Cope, A. , Gurley, K. , Filliben, J. , Simiu, E. , Pinelli, J. , Subramanian, C. , Zhang, L. and Hamid, S. (2003), A Hurricane Damage Prediction Model for Residential Structures, ICASP-9, Undefined, [online], (Accessed April 23, 2024)
Created June 30, 2003, Updated October 12, 2021