Morale couldn’t have been higher for the crew of the battleship USS Arizona on the morning of Sunday, Dec. 7, 1941. Docked at the Pearl Harbor, Hawaii, Naval Station, the Arizona was scheduled to make a Christmastime trip back home to the West Coast the following weekend. Those plans, and the peace of a nation, were shattered at 7:55 a.m. Hawaii Standard Time when more than 400 planes from the Japanese air force began a sneak attack on the base. Fifteen minutes later, the Arizona’s forward deck was pierced by a bomb that set off 450,000 kilograms (1 million short tons) of explosives stockpiled aboard the ship. It also ignited a large amount of the 4.5 million liters (1.2 million gallons) of heavy fuel oil stored in more than 200 tanks spread across four deck levels of the ship. The resulting fire would burn for the next 2-1/2 days.
Within nine minutes after the fatal blow, the Arizona—three times the size of the Statue of Liberty—sank 10 meters (34 feet) to the bottom of Pearl Harbor, along with the bodies of more than 1,100 Navy sailors and Marines.
Today, the USS Arizona Memorial rests atop the sunken remains of the once-mighty warship. Still inside the deteriorating hull are approximately 1.9 million liters (500,000 gallons) of fuel oil that were not lost on the “Date Which Will Live in Infamy.” More than three-quarters of a century after the Arizona’s demise, about 1.9 liters (2 quarts) continue to seep out of the wreckage daily and that has the memorial’s caretakers, the National Park Service (NPS) and the U.S. Navy, concerned about the potential for a major oil spill that would seriously foul the harbor.
To scientifically determine the long-term stability of the Arizona’s structure and predict when catastrophic leakage might occur, NPS’s Submerged Resources Center in Lakewood, Colorado, turned to Tim Foecke, a metallurgist at the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST). In 2006, Foecke and a guest researcher, Li Ma, built a highly detailed computer model of the Arizona’s mid-section based on blueprints of the ship; known data about the vessel’s metal properties, corrosion status and damage condition; and measurements of the external forces acting upon the sunken hull such as pressure and wave action. The model, which breaks the 24-meter (80-foot) long section under study into 200,000 data blocks (known as elements), allows Foecke to “virtually degrade” the Arizona by simulating decades of seawater exposure and structural deterioration.
Based on his calculations, Foecke believes that it will be between 100 to 150 years before a total collapse of the Arizona’s steel hull occurs. He plans to do a comprehensive modeling of the entire structure in the near future to provide even more insight into the vessel’s likely fate.
That information will be extremely valuable as the stewards of the Arizona decide how best to manage the fuel oil left onboard. Because the oil was stored throughout the ship to withstand battle damage, it cannot be completely removed without compromising large sections of the vessel and intruding on what is considered an underwater cemetery. Therefore, NPS and the Navy are considering non-intrusive methods to “seal” the fuel permanently inside.
– Michael E. Newman