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Publication Citation: A Hurricane Damage Prediction Model for Residential Structures

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Author(s): A Cope; K Gurley; James J. Filliben; Emil Simiu; J P. Pinelli; C Subramanian; L. Zhang; S Hamid;
Title: A Hurricane Damage Prediction Model for Residential Structures
Published: July 01, 2003
Abstract: The focus of this paper is the development of a probabilistic model for the prediction of structural damage due to hurricane winds in the state of Florida. This is a necessary component to a model currently under development to predict annualized insurable losses to residential structures due to hurricane winds. The estimation of building damage is accomplished through the development of damage matrices. The wind field and the structural system are decomposed into a set of discrete wind speed ranges and several basic damage states for a given structural calssification. The damage matrix expresses the various mutually exclusive combinations of damage states and their corresponding probability of occurrence conditioned upon a given wind speed range. The paper describes the conceptual framework for the proposed model, and illustrates its application for a specific building classification common in Florida.
Conference: International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering
Proceedings: ICASP-9
Dates: July 6-9, 2003
Keywords: building technology;damage;hurricanes;losses;residential buildings;wind loads
Research Areas: Building and Fire Research
PDF version: PDF Document Click here to retrieve PDF version of paper (165KB)