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Publication Citation: An Attack Graph Based Probabilistic Security Metric

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Author(s): Lingyu Wang; Tania Islam; Tao Long; Anoop Singhal; Sushil Jajodia;
Title: An Attack Graph Based Probabilistic Security Metric
Published: July 16, 2008
Abstract: To protect critical resources in today's networked environments, it is desirable to quantify the likelihood of potential multi-step attacks that combine multiple vulnerabilities. This now becomes feasible due to a model of causal relationships between vulnerabilities, namely, attack graph. This paper proposes an attack graph-based probabilistic metric for network security and studies its efficient computation. We first define the basic metric and provide an intuitive and meaningful interpretation to the metric. We then study the definition in more complex attack graphs with cycles and extend the definition accordingly. We show that computing the metric directly from its definition is not efficient in many cases and propose heuristics to improve the efficiency of such computation.
Conference: 22nd Annual IFIP WG 11.3 Working Conference on Data and Applications Security
Proceedings: Data and Applications Security XXII (Lecture Notes in Computer Science)
Volume: 5094
Pages: pp. 283 - 296
Location: London, -1
Dates: July 13-16, 2008
Keywords: graphs, network security, security metrics, vulnerability assessment
Research Areas: Cybersecurity
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-70567-3_22  (Note: May link to a non-U.S. Government webpage)