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Publication Citation: Quantifying Model Error

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Author(s): Kevin B. McGrattan; Blaza Toman;
Title: Quantifying Model Error
Published: February 11, 2011
Abstract: A methodology is proposed for reporting the results of fire model validation studies that consist mainly of comparisons of model predictions and experimental measurements. The difference between the two is a combination of model error and experimental uncertainty. Assuming that one can quantify the experimental uncertainty, the model error can be estimated using a relatively simple form of Bayesian analysis.
Citation: Journal of Fire Protection Engineering
Keywords: fire modeling, validation
Research Areas: Fire Modeling
PDF version: PDF Document Click here to retrieve PDF version of paper (564KB)